April 30, 2010

Sucker Punched Very Slickly

Filed under: Politics,Science — PolitiCalypso @ 10:27 am

As any writer of Southern literature would tell you, the central Gulf Coast is a tragic place. It is the final destination of many terrible hurricanes, including Katrina, Ivan, Camille, Betsy, Audrey, Andrew, and a plethora of unnamed hurricanes in the early 20th century that caused devastation equivalent to that of their named brethren. It has been and continues to be the laboratory for the experiments of the U.S. Corps of Engineers, which incidentally are at least peripherally to blame for the damage from Katrina in New Orleans. The Gulf of Mexico itself has had a biological “dead zone” for several years from chemical runoff in the Mississippi River. Coastal wildlife, too, is constantly under threat, with various birds and seashore creatures perennially on the endangered species list and the coastal wetlands under assault. The threat of inundation from sea level rises from global warming looms in the future.

And yet, the coast has managed to maintain a certain charm. Visiting some areas is like living in a Jimmy Buffett song. Taking a tour of historical sites—those that have survived the onslaught of hurricanes—brings one into a bygone era of simplicity, a certain kind of elegance (even for the more rustic historical sites), and closeness to nature. Visiting one of the many wildlife sanctuaries on this coast and observing the unique plants and animals that live there can make an environmentalist out of anyone but the most hardened plutocrats, even though (or especially since?) such jaunts are darkened by the inevitable signs indicating that some creature is critically endangered. And anyone who has ever taken a walk on the white beaches of Alabama or far western Florida at night can attest to the subtropical marine beauty of the Gulf. The coast is its own travel advertisement.

Were it not for the hurricanes, and the fact that they have a much higher tendency to make landfall at devastating intensities on the Gulf Coast (and southeast Florida) than the subtropical Atlantic coast, I would consider living as close to the shore as I could manage.

But once again, the Gulf Coast has been sucker punched.

I’m not going to go into depth about the science of this oil spill or the technological requirements of damage control. Mechanical engineering and petroleum engineering are not my specialties, nor have I read much of anything about them in my life, and unlike many bloggers, I’m not inclined to make an ignorant-sounding fool out of myself by pretending that I know something about a topic when all I’ve done is to read about it on the news and maybe check a Wiki article or two. Not to mention that I, quite frankly, no longer believe one word coming out of the mouths of anyone protecting BP, the various supporting industries such as Halliburton (though I haven’t believed them in eight years), or the White House. You simply cannot believe any source except scientists if it has an agenda to protect that relates to the topic at hand, and sometimes even certain scientists lose sight of the fact that they are supposed to accept the truth even if it is not what they wanted. This is going to be an absolute disaster; bits of information are trickling out now to indicate just how thoroughly these entities tried to lie to the American public about the scope of this, and like the spill itself, the trickles are only going to get worse.

It is incredibly hubristic to imagine that one could prevent the truth from getting out about something as large-scale and catastrophic as this, but power knows no boundaries in its arrogance. Though history is littered with the figurative corpses of former power-brokers who thought they could get away with massive lies, each new set thinks it is invincible until put to the test. BP’s reputation is shot. And the White House may well try to do damage control by implementing a temporary ban on offshore drilling, but that does not erase the fact that the president broke a major campaign promise by getting out there and supporting this type of thing in the first place and then sent a spokesman to say that the spill didn’t change his mind. (The time to act like George W. Bush is when you are trying to get a piece of legislation passed in a non-watered-down form, not when you have just witnessed the American Gulf Coast experience a disaster on your watch that could have been either mitigated or entirely prevented. Heck of a job.) People will pay a price for dishonesty.

As for the pathetic, deranged “progressive” South-haters who will say in so many words that the people of the Southern coast (we’ll ignore the innocent wildlife for now) got what they deserved for voting for politicians that support offshore drilling, well, to dignify this bigoted bile with a response is beneath me.

The only remotely positive outcome I can think of is that of disaster-as-catalyst. It is far past time for the world’s economy to get away from fossil fuels. If I believed that God destroyed innocents on Earth in order to teach the survivors a lesson, I would say that the oil spill and the recent tragic coal mining disaster are one heck of a message. As it is, I think it’s just a terrible coincidence. Still, we can always choose to take a lesson from it even if the events themselves have no greater meaning. We are in the 21st century. We should not have our civilization so utterly dependent on the compressed or liquefied remains of prehistoric life forms. Do I think that this will serve as a catalyst to finally get away from the intravenous drip of oil and the crack pipe of coal? Not really. But then, I’m a cynic and a pessimist. I’d be delighted to be proven wrong, both about the impact of the spill and about our future.

I do love the Gulf Coast, after all.

March 14, 2008

What Makes a Creationist Tick?

Filed under: Science — PolitiCalypso @ 3:07 pm
Note: After crunching the poll numbers that will be in this blog, I have realized there’s a fair chance that some of my readers might be personally insulted by this entry. This is not my intention. I fully admit that the point of it is to advocate a view, but I also would welcome comments from creationists if they feel that my conclusions about their motives are in error.

According to fairly recent polls, 49 percent of the American public believes the theory of evolution, against 48 percent that does not. It’s not entirely clear what this poll means, because people may interpret “Do you believe in evolution?” in different ways. However, I think it can be taken at face value, because a different poll had been taken a few months earlier asking if human beings evolved, and it offered more clarity in its choices, including a choice “humans evolved under God’s direction.” From the same link, this other poll found that even with the choice of theistic evolution, 55 percent believed that there was no evolution involved in the human species. I think it’s safe to conclude that this country is roughly split down the middle.

Now, why? Why is the concept of evolution—and with it, scientific ideas such as the age of the Earth and the beginning of the universe—so controversial that fully half of the country won’t believe it?

There is a disturbing trend in some parts of the political “blogosphere” to denigrate, insult, and attack not just politicians and national figures, but also ordinary people on the other side of the aisle. It’s part of the polarization of America, no doubt, but all it’s accomplishing is to increase hate. You never win anyone over by calling them stupid. We are a thinking species, and whatever the idea may be, no matter how mind-blowing it may seem, the person holding it has a reason for doing so. It may be a reason they’re not consciously aware of, and it may be flawed, but they have some reason for believing as they do. To disregard this fact sends the signal that you are not interested in hearing what they have to say—that you’ve decided that they’re stupid. I am not going to play that ugly game.

The fairest way to approach this is first to see what creationists themselves say about their disbelief in evolution. The most common explanation I’ve read is this one: “If you can’t accept the literal truth of Genesis, how can you accept any of the Bible?”

There is a professed belief among many fundamentalists that the Bible (specifically the King James Version) is literally true in every word. By “professed,” I mean that these fundamentalists claim to believe in Biblical literalism, but they actually don’t, and I am not just referring to the passages about ancient Jewish law.

Many verses in the Old Testament describe an immobile, fixed Earth. This, of course, is what gave so much trouble for Copernicus and Galileo, a literal interpretation of these passages. And twice in the Old Testament, a circular basin is described as having a diameter of 10 cubits and a circumference of 30, which is mathematically impossible. When this is pointed out to literalists, they object, saying that the fixed Earth passages are symbolic and the basin’s measurements are approximations. However, to use their own argument, if you are a Biblical literalist, you can’t pick and choose. Especially when a cornerstone of your argument is that the KJV specifically is a divinely inspired “cleanup” of older texts and that the English translators of that time were working with holy guidance.

I don’t think the real problem has anything to do with Biblical literalism or the flawed “all or none” logic that literalists use when talking about Genesis. Instead I will turn to another fundamentalist explanation for not believing in evolution, Big Bang theory, and any scientific theory that explains origins: These theories are “godless.”

And you know what, they’re right.

I haven’t talked to a creationist who fully “gets” the theory of natural selection. There have always been some misconceptions about how it works. However, when they say it is a godless theory, they are dead right about that. Same for any scientific “origin” theory. That’s what science does; it looks for measurable and reproducible explanations for occurrences in nature. In the realm of scientific finding, “God” will never be an acceptable theory for anything—at least as long as we cannot quantify Him.

I am aware that some ideas, such as Intelligent Design, accept natural selection as the driving mechanism for speciation, but make claims that the higher animals are just too complex for random evolution, even over millions of years. This is a misconception about genetics. While there is natural variation among members of a species, the formation of new traits is not chaotically random. There is a genetic baseline; when reproduction occurs, the parents’ DNA is not randomly scrambled and mutated in the young. If it was, then well over 99 percent of pregnancies would fail. Countless fetuses and embryos in all species of animals are spontaneously aborted very early in the pregnancy because of severe genetic flaws. An animal that is born has already passed through a rigorous natural screening process that usually eliminates life-threatening defects. In the wild, young born with severe birth defects usually die very young. If we were looking at a gene mechanism that was utterly chaotic, then Intelligent Design would be the only reasonable explanation for the profound order that we see in biological life. But we’re not.

The mechanism of evolution works without any divine presence in the picture. It doesn’t disprove God, but it also doesn’t require God. The creationists’ explanation for origins absolutely requires a divine presence. And, whatever misconceptions they may have about the details of evolutionary theory, I think that creationists understand this part of it quite well. I think this is the real reason why they disbelieve in evolution.

Some of them may believe the fallacy that “lack of proof of a positive equals proof of a negative.” To them, accepting a scientific theory that doesn’t require a deity is the same thing as denying belief in that deity. Obviously this is flawed reasoning, and I doubt that it accounts for the majority of creationists. With the majority, their problem with evolution is much deeper than that.

In the past I’ve found it hard to believe that anyone could see science as a threat to their faith, but after giving it thought and trying to see it from their point of view, I think I understand. I can see why they are so adamant about Genesis 1 without being equally adamant about the fixed-Earth passages. Big Bang theory and evolution offer explanations for the deepest, most profound mystery—where everything came from—and they do it without invoking supernatural power. The orbit of the Earth around the sun doesn’t even come close in significance.

Creationists, are you so faithless as that? Is it so hard to have faith that you must set up a theory of origins that defies all scientific finding, just because scientific finding doesn’t offer you the proof that you crave?

Millions of people have no difficulty accepting science and belief, because their belief was never about science. They didn’t look for God in a journal. If God exists, then He is in the world, including nature. The fact that human beings can understand the physical laws and natural processes that made the world has no effect on whether He is real or not. You seem to want God to be a magician, acting in ways that are unfathomable by the audience, and you’re so busy looking for the divine everywhere, like a bunch of modern-day would-be prophets pleading for bolts of heavenly lightning to strike and prove your faith, that you’re neglecting the place where you actually will be able to find God—your own hearts.

It’s long past time for America’s people of faith to do some soul-searching. We’ve lost our way as a nation, and I fear we are headed into very troubled times. A little faith would go a long way to help.

October 26, 2006

Ivory-Billed Woodpeckers Likely Found in Florida

Filed under: Science — PolitiCalypso @ 6:50 am

Sometimes you just have to take a break from blogging politics.

My younger sister, who is studying biology and specializes in ornithology, informed me of this piece of good news.  In a world where the world’s great experiment in democracy decides to grant dictatorial power to an illegitimately installed war criminal executive branch, it’s the small things that still give hope.  I take heart in this news release from the Cornell Lab of Ornithology:

Avian biologist Geoffrey Hill of Auburn University in Alabama says his team has collected sound recordings and sight records that show ivory-bills may inhabit the Florida panhandle in the Choctawhatchee River basin.

This is in addition to the reports last year of the woodpecker (which was long thought extinct) living in a remote area of Arkansas.  The bird was once reported all over the Southeast and as far north as the Ohio River, but due to habitat destruction, its population has apparently dwindled to a very few small locations of undisturbed forests.

I have read over all the public evidence and am inclined to believe the accounts, and if they are true, it speaks to the urgency of protecting the birds in this area.  The Florida Panhandle has been hit by several major hurricanes since the birds were thought to have become extinct in the 1940s — most recently, by notorious Category 3 landfalling Frederic, Ivan, and Dennis.  If a hurricane like Katrina were to make landfall on the birds’ location, it would surely wipe out this pocket with its storm surge.  That seems highly unlikely to happen this year with the onset of El Niño conditions, which suppress hurricane activity, but it is a concern nonetheless.

The scientists were not able to obtain good photographs of the birds, but they had 13 credible sightings (several of more than one bird), over 200 bird calls that match Ivorybill calls recorded in the 1930s, and 99 “double knocks,” the distinctive sound that the bird makes while rapping on trees.  These sounds are not associated with other bird species that exist in this area.  Additionally, they found cavities in trees that are too large to have been made by other woodpeckers and were confirmed by bill markings to have been made by birds rather than other animals.  Ivorybills carved out and nested in such large holes.  [Source, Auburn University professor Geoffrey Hill]

This bird requires undisturbed old-growth forest land in which to nest and forage.  Such land is exactly what Republican administrations want to cede to big industry.  In fact, the last proven photographs of the bird taken in the U.S. were in Louisiana in a spot of land called the Singer Tract, owned by the sewing machine company.  The logging rights to the land had been sold, and the land was wiped clean despite efforts by the Audubon Society to save it.

When the sightings in Arkansas were announced last year, the Bush Interior Department publicly played along with conservationists, mainly because it would’ve been terrible press not to.  In the meantime, the administration has supported environmental policies that would harm the prospects of this and other endangered species.  This is what Republicans do time and time again:  photo-op for political benefit, but support destructive actions after the cameras shift away to something else.

The land in Arkansas had been bought by the Nature Conservancy, an organization dedicated specifically to buying tracts of land to preserve wildlife.  The Arkansas habitat is also an extremely large area of land in comparison with the Florida habitat, which covers only about two square miles.  The land is owned by the state of Florida.  The small size of the habitat makes it that much more vulnerable to environmental destruction around it, and the need to preserve it is thus that much greater.

September 10, 2006

Magnitude 6.0 Earthquake in Gulf of Mexico

Filed under: Science — PolitiCalypso @ 7:45 pm

Today a magnitude 6.0 earthquake occurred in the Gulf of Mexico, causing residents of the Gulf Coast to feel tremors. It didn’t cause tsunami warnings, but it is a bit unsettling for a quake this strong to occur relatively close to the New Madrid fault.

Earthquakes often trigger other earthquakes in relatively short spaces of time, because the Earth’s tectonic plates share edges with each other. In fact, another relatively strong earthquake–5.2–occurred in February of this year in the same general area. The Gulf of Mexico is on the same tectonic plate as the New Madrid fault–the North American Plate. The recent seismic activity in the Gulf is somewhat disturbing.

April 26, 2005

Ignorance Is Strength?

Filed under: Politics,Science — PolitiCalypso @ 8:27 pm

Neoconservatism Meets Ingsoc in Schools

Judging from their policies and proposals, as well as their own behavior, one would have good reason to believe that most members of the Religious Right dislike public schools and think them secular, "liberally slanted," ungodly institutions that corrupt their children and turn them against their parents and their religion. After all, it is this group that most strongly advocates private and parochial school vouchers. It is this group that initiates the "put prayer back in school" drives and raises the most fuss when any blatant school-sponsored religious–often denominational–display is sanctioned by the courts. It is this group that controls many home-school organizations, at least in the South. (Full disclosure: While I was never home-schooled, my parents do home-school my younger siblings, but not because they are "Religious Right" or think that there isn’t enough religious indoctrination in the public schools.) However, their raging against public schools is really quite ironic, since–in the South at the very least–many public schools would be thought to be religious private schools by an observer who knew no better.It’s a sign of extreme cognitive dissonance that the Religious Right whines about the teaching of scientific theories that conflict with a literalist’s interpretation of the Bible, especially in the South, where most of this activity appears to take place. Of course, I speak primarily of the theory of natural selection, discussions of the geological history of the Earth, and mentions of the Big Bang theory. These scientific ideas are the Religious Right’s most common boogeymen, since they conflict with their dear-to-their-heart notion of a 6000-year-old Earth. However, more recently, the Neoconservative political agenda has made its way into ecology classes, where global warming and environmentally responsible consumerism–if discussed at all–are treated dismissively as "unproven theories." This, in public schools, the institutions of the devil.

All of the following anecdotes are true, unembellished, and occurred in public schools in the Southeast. (Read more…)

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