Comments for Synoptic Flow

Comment on NWA 2011: Thoughts About Tornado Warnings and the Casualty Count by SAlawine

SAlawine — Mon, 24 Oct 2011 00:20:43 +0000

I enjoyed–is that the right word?–reading this.

Comment on Emily Organizes; Gulf Threat Decreases by Erin Thead

Erin Thead — Fri, 05 Aug 2011 07:19:47 +0000

Well, based on its past history, I was always betting on “weak and west,” but total disintegration of the surface low surprised me. Expect it’ll regenerate over the weekend.

Comment on Emily Organizes; Gulf Threat Decreases by Erin Thead

Erin Thead — Wed, 03 Aug 2011 21:21:40 +0000

4:20 p.m. Wed.: Bullheaded Emily continues west in defiance of official forecasts and most models. May not even make landfall on Hispaniola. Sizing this up… look for a new blog tonight.

Comment on Emily Is a Threat To the U.S. by Sheila Alawine Thead

Sheila Alawine Thead — Tue, 02 Aug 2011 01:31:06 +0000

Everybody should read this.

Comment on 90L: Weak and Into the Gulf by Erin Thead

Erin Thead — Tue, 26 Jul 2011 04:15:48 +0000

The GFS is on board. This is important, because until now, it has refused to even acknowledge that this system is there! Emerging consensus is a central TX landfall.

Comment on 90L: Weak and Into the Gulf by Erin Thead

Erin Thead — Tue, 26 Jul 2011 03:20:23 +0000

90L LIVES. It’s spinning up, and cyclone-specific models are being run on it again because the European model has taken notice of it. This is why I don’t write systems off when they are in mostly favorable conditions. Meteorologists must be patient! There will be a new blog about this system tomorrow if this trend continues.

Comment on 90L: Weak and Into the Gulf by Erin Thead

Erin Thead — Sun, 24 Jul 2011 04:58:57 +0000

I would like to observe that the North American Mesoscale (NAM) model, the flagship model used by NOAA, is also developing this system and sending it south of Cuba. No changes in my thinking: Expect little in the short term, but this could definitely be a storm in a few days.

Comment on Running from an EF-5: Part Two by Running from an EF-5: Part Three « Synoptic Flow

Running from an EF-5: Part Three « Synoptic Flow — Fri, 03 Jun 2011 03:43:33 +0000

[...] series about the EF-5 tornado that went through central Mississippi on April 27, 2011. Part One and Part Two are [...]

Comment on Running from an EF-5: Part Two by What’s Going Wrong? « Synoptic Flow

What’s Going Wrong? « Synoptic Flow — Fri, 27 May 2011 02:23:18 +0000

[...] and people following the situation online know when there is actually a confirmed tornado. Real-time reports of a tornado on the ground helped me decide to evacuate in advance of an EF-5 tornado. Some storm chasers behave highly [...]

Comment on Running from an EF-5: Part One by Running from an EF-5: Part Three « Synoptic Flow

Running from an EF-5: Part Three « Synoptic Flow — Mon, 09 May 2011 18:46:39 +0000

[...] Three of the series about the EF-5 tornado that went through central Mississippi on April 27, 2011. Part One and Part Two are [...]